logseq/pages/Omnivore___07-03-2024___Are we in an AI overhang- — LessWrong.md

full-title:: Are we in an AI overhang? — LessWrong site:: lesswrong.com author:: Andy Jones labels:: P1 AI date-saved:: 07-03-2024 date-published:: 27-07-2020 source:: Omnivore state:: reading

- ### Highlights
	- id:: 65f2aa95-0fe9-49c8-a094-2eff2d755895
	  > Google, Amazon and Microsoft each spend about $20bn/year on R&D and another $20bn each on capital expenditure. Very roughly, it totals to $100bn/year. Against this budget, dropping $1bn or more on scaling GPT up by another factor of 100x is entirely plausible _right now_. All that's necessary is that tech executives stop thinking of natural language processing as cutesy blue-sky research and start thinking in terms of quarters-till-profitability. [⤴️](https://omnivore.app/me/are-we-in-an-ai-overhang-less-wrong-18e1adf68ef#3768edc2-c47d-433e-aedd-10d2b5e4d6ba)